100,000+ Monte Carlo simulations power every pick.
NFL • NBA • NCAAF
Data-driven models for three sports. No opinions. No gut feels.
Every game runs through 100,000+ Monte Carlo simulations using historical data, player stats, and advanced metrics.
We compare our model projections to market lines. When we find a gap, that's edge. The bigger the gap, the more value.
Value plays get posted to Discord with full transparency. Model line, market line, edge size, and confidence tier.
Every pick is logged. We track win rate, CLV (closing line value), and ROI. No hiding. No cherry-picking.
Every pick is labeled based on model edge
Highest confidence plays. Model sees significant market mispricing.
Strong edge. Model projection differs meaningfully from market.
Slight edge detected. Proceed with smaller position.
Daily cheatsheets with full model breakdowns
Game Lines Model
TD Scorer Model
Player Props Model
Nothing is guaranteed. Anyone who says otherwise is lying.
Every pick is backed by 100,000 simulations, not vibes.
We track everything publicly. Wins and losses.
No "inside info." No "trust me bro." Just math.
Closing Line Value is the best predictor of long-term success
CLV measures whether the line moved in our direction after we posted a pick. If we grab +3 and it closes at +1, that's +2 CLV. Consistent positive CLV = real edge, not luck.
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Join DiscordDaily picks. Full model outputs. Active community.