Don't Guess.
Simulate.

100,000+ Monte Carlo simulations power every pick.
NFL • NBA • NCAAF

100K+ Simulations
3 Sports (More Coming Soon)
100% Transparency

What We Build

Data-driven models for three sports. No opinions. No gut feels.

🏈

NFL

  • Game line projections
  • First TD scorer probabilities
  • Anytime TD scorer rankings
  • Player yards projections
100K sims/game
🏀

NBA

  • Spread & total projections
  • First basket probabilities
  • Player prop projections
  • Points/Rebounds/Assists
100K sims/game
🏟️

NCAAF

  • Game line projections
  • First TD scorer model
  • Anytime TD rankings
  • Team scoring analysis
100K sims/game

How It Works

01

Simulate

Every game runs through 100,000+ Monte Carlo simulations using historical data, player stats, and advanced metrics.

02

Find Edge

We compare our model projections to market lines. When we find a gap, that's edge. The bigger the gap, the more value.

03

Post Picks

Value plays get posted to Discord with full transparency. Model line, market line, edge size, and confidence tier.

04

Track Everything

Every pick is logged. We track win rate, CLV (closing line value), and ROI. No hiding. No cherry-picking.

Value Tiers

Every pick is labeled based on model edge

🔥 SMASH
5+ point edge

Highest confidence plays. Model sees significant market mispricing.

1-2 units
💰 VALUE
3-5 point edge

Strong edge. Model projection differs meaningfully from market.

0.5-1 units
📈 LEAN
1.5-3 point edge

Slight edge detected. Proceed with smaller position.

0.25-0.5 unit

What You Get

Daily cheatsheets with full model breakdowns

Game Lines Cheatsheet Game Lines Model
TD Scorer Cheatsheet TD Scorer Model
Player Props Cheatsheet Player Props Model

What We're Not

🚫

No "Locks"

Nothing is guaranteed. Anyone who says otherwise is lying.

🚫

No Gut Feels

Every pick is backed by 100,000 simulations, not vibes.

🚫

No Hidden Records

We track everything publicly. Wins and losses.

🚫

No Tout BS

No "inside info." No "trust me bro." Just math.

We Track CLV

Closing Line Value is the best predictor of long-term success

What is CLV?

CLV measures whether the line moved in our direction after we posted a pick. If we grab +3 and it closes at +1, that's +2 CLV. Consistent positive CLV = real edge, not luck.

Our Pick: BUF +3.0
Closing Line: BUF +1.0
CLV: +2.0 ✓

Join the Discord

Use our discount code!

Join Discord

Daily picks. Full model outputs. Active community.